Omicron And Inflation Amid A Boom, Fritz Meyer Economic Update, Dec. 2021

Fritz Meyer
12/13/21 4 PM EST
Live CPA
Program Id: 471268315

With Omicron, inflation, the taper, and a mild stock market correction making headlines, it’s easy to overlook the booming economic data:

  • Atlanta Fed’s Q4 GDPNow growth estimate just hit +9.7%
  • index of leading economic indicators just rose sharply to a record high again
  • ISM’s services PMI surged again to a record high
  • unemployment rate is closing in on its record lows
  • cash in consumers’ accounts available for spending (M2) is astounding
  • Ed Yardeni’s Boom/Bust Barometer is at a record high
  • November’s household survey showed a booming 1.1 million new jobs compared to just 210,000 on the establishment survey, and the two surveys converge over time

This class updates participants on important economic statistics and rising earnings forecasts, and examines the 2021 performance of forecasts made in December 2020 by Wall Street’s top strategists. Participants walk away with an understanding of key issues affecting portfolio management right now, including: 

  • The Great Inflation of 1965-82 versus what’s happening now
  • The Fed valuation model indicating stocks are reasonably priced versus bonds
  • The lowest rates in U.S. history resulting in a new stock/bond valuation paradigm  

 

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